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Handicapping and Systems Analysis, 2/5

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Lakers (38-10) @Boston (41-9) -

This is the rematch of the season for the Celtics. After the Lakers broke these C's last Christmas (which they had a nasty 2-7 SU in that span after that game), the Celtics have regained their swagger and are now seeking the ultimate form of revenge. In sports handicapping, one has to consider if a team has the motivation and ability to cover the spread. The motivation for the C's is undeniable, but the ability is not so apparent. But, if one looks at the recent history between these two teams, the C's are actually 8-2 ATS over these Lakers (6-4 SU). This is the perfect storm for a Celtics blowout. Schedule-wise, the C's are playing their 4th game in 7 days (having this series: game, 1 day rest, game, 1 day rest, game, 1 day rest, and this game). The Lakers on the other hand will have their 5th game in 7 days (having this series, game, game, 1 day rest, game, 1 day rest, game, and this game). Clearly the Lakers will be in their 2nd back to back in the past 7 days. Fatigue will be an issue. Thus, with motivation for the C's, the ability to cover against the Lakers, the scheduling mismatch, and Bynum's loss for the Lakers all equal a complete blowout by the Celtics on national television. The Celtics make a statement tonite.

FREE Pick: Boston Celtics (best odds: BetED).