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Small Home Dog Bounces Back! (63%)
System:
Go for a team with a better than 65% home winning percentage if they are a home dog of less than 4 points, coming off a loss, and have double revenge against their current opponent.

Analysis:
It is rare to have a strong home team as a home dog. We anticipate that in order for this to happen, their opponent would have to be one of the best teams in the league. Since the team we are going for has double revenge and is coming off a loss, they will be looking forward to this game to get back on track. Since their opponent is likely one of the best teams in their conference, they may have lost their earlier game looking ahead to this game.

Record (Past 11 years): 17-10
Avg. margin of victory: 2.5 points per game

 

Losing by 1-pt. bites (65%)
System:
Go for a regular season home team off a loss with 1 point revenge with its opponent if they are coming off a win. Opponent must have a less than 66% record.

Analysis:
The key here is the 1-point revenge. Our team, having lost by 1 point and coming into this game off a loss will be paying extra attention to the fundamentals that lost them that game by 1 point. They will be looking to improve upon their earlier performance.

Record (Past 11 years): 15-8
Avg. margin of victory: 4.2 points per game

Losing in OT bites (73%)
System:
Go for a home team off a road overtime loss against the very same team it lost to OT.

Analysis:
A team is scheduled to play the same team two games in a row but loses the first one on the road in overtime. Not only do they feel they should have won the game and will look to avenge it but they will also draw upon their home crowd.

Record (Past 11 years): 8-3-1, 2-1 this season
Avg. margin of victory: 4.5 points per game