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kris lazaroOakland Raiders vs. Green Bay Packers

by Kris Lazaro

12/8/07

The Green Bay Packers look to bounce back after their loss against the Dallas Cowboys this Sunday as they defend their home turf against the perennial doormat of the NFL—the Oakland Raiders.  Oddsmakers have made the Packers an opening 10 point favorite, with some books moving the number up to 11 points at the time of writing.

The Packers have been phenomenal this season, going 10-2 for the season and 9-2-1 against the spread.  They have been especially dominant at home, going 5-1 straight up and 4-1-1 against the number.  Superstar quarterback Brett Favre has found the fountain of youth as he is having a great season thus far.  He has a 97.9 quarterback rating and a 67.43% passing completion percentage.  His receiving corps consists of the reliable wideoouts of Donald Driver, Greg Jennings, Ruvell Martin, and James Jones.  Although they do not have a running game, they are making up for it in the air.  They have amassed on average 293.1 yards in the air, a feat that is remarkable in the NFL.  Favre will continue this dominance as they face a hapless Oakland Raiders secondary.

The Oakland Raiders have been as bad as bad can be.  They are currently 4-8 straight up and 5-7 against the spread.  Away from Oakland, the Raiders are 2-4 straight up and amazingly profitable on the road, going 4-2 against the number.  Recently, the Raiders have found a resurgence in their offense, scoring 34, 20, and 22 in their last 3 games.

The over / under for this game is currently set at 40 points (the opening line was 42).  The authors suggest to play the over in this game, as both offenses will get their scores.  Both defense are sub par, allowing the opposition over 300 yards for both defensive units.  The author sees a very high scoring game with old man Favre prevailing in the end.

Game prediction42-28 Green Bay.

 
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