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kris lazaroKansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos

by Kris Lazaro

12/8/07

The lowly Denver Broncos host the even more pathetic Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday in a classic NFC West showdown that has this author scratching his head at the current odds of the game.  Oddsmakers opened up Denver as a 6.5 point favorite over Kansas City, with the line climbing to its current state of 7 at most books.  The author feels that this is too many points to give for an offense as anemic as the one in Denver.

The Chiefs come into this contest 4-8 straight up and 5-6-1 against the spread.  They are 2-3 away from Arrowhead stadium with a remarkable 4-1 against the number ledger.  Since this is a divisional rivalry game, the author fully expects the Chiefs to make this game interesting.  The NFC West has been especially bad this year, thus having a line like this is purely ridiculous.  No team in this division deserves to be favored by more than a touchdown.  No team.

Denver comes into this contest 5-7 straight up and 3-9 against the spread.  At home, in the friendly confines of Invesco Field, a mile high from sea level, the Broncos are a disappointing 3-3 straight up and 2-4 against the number.  Denver was once a powerhouse at home, but in recent seasons, they have faltered and given up their great homefield advantage.  Bad defense and a bad offensive system have added to their misery.  The author stated earlier that no team in this division could justifiably be favored by more than one touchdown.  This line reflects an over exaggeration of past performances where the home team was dominant.  The author highly suggests ignoring this trend and looking at what is happening now.

The game will be a low scoring affair, with a good possibility of an upset by the underdog Chiefs.  Denver will again struggle on offense and will let Kansas City in the game.  Kansas City wins this with a last second field goal.

Game prediction:  19-17 Kansas City.

 
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